by: Brian.Brady on 2008-04-14 @ 2.36:52 am

I'm still floating mortgage rates, unless my clients are closing within 14 days.  I"m cautiously floating because of the volatility in the market.  Fundamentally, mortgage rates shouldn't have a whole lot more room to come down; the Fed cuts are probably coming to an end.  Something much more drastic than the Fed open market activities will be needed to pull us out of the recession. 

 

Yep.  I said the R word and have been since last fall.  I'm not scared of the recession; I welcome it.  Here's the trick for mortgage rates.  The weak dollar has world investors believing that the Fed's easy money policy is inflationary...

 

UNTIL...

 

the recession hits them.  Make no mistake about it, the economic slowdown is a global phenomenon.  Canada and the UK are following suit by cutting rates.  I think the world wide recession will lower oil prices and provide some much needed relief to the American consumer.

 

Nothing says it like pictures.   I'll show you some charts, to see how I'm thinking.

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by: Brian.Brady on 2008-04-02 @ 11.28:29 pm

Canadian investors, seeking American mortgages, may be in for a shock when "shopping".  The American mortgage banking and brokerage system is different than the Canadian banking system.  In Canada, there are 5-7 major banks or lenders and a variety of mortgage brokers.  Both lenders and mortgage brokers, in Canada, are heavily regulated.  Loan programs, in Canada, are fewer than the loan programs offered in the States.  The American mortgage industry relies heavily on the seciritization of mortgage loans.  As such, there are big banks and small mortgage brokers who may very well offer identical loan programs.

 

Should Canadian investors then deal only with large American banks?  Ask Canadian investors, with properties in escrow, this past week.  Two major American banks cancelled their loan programs, on April 1, 2008, for Canadian citizens buying properties in Arizona, California, Florida, and Nevada.  I have fielded 5-7 calls each day, since Friday, from frustrated Canadians.

 

Consider this question, posed by a Canadian borrower (about a Canadian mortgage):


Mortgage broker or big bank, and does personality count?

 

Do I let them compete against each other until zero hour? Hang it all and go with Broker Billy? Is there some advantage to having one's mortgage with a big bank? How important is it that I like who I'm dealing with? (If that's important, it looks to be particularly so here. Bob and Barbara irritate; Billy, I like, and he/his assistant are top-notch at quickly giving good answers to questions.) What sort of "what else is involved vis-a-vis your brand of mortgage" questions should I be asking?

 

Personality, I'll admit, is important for investors dealing with a "foreign" mortgage originator.  The reason is that the American mortgage market is in turmoil.  Loan programs change constantly.  An American mortgage broker, experienced at financing "foreign nationals", offers a much better alternative than relying on an American bank.  American banks are extremely risk-averse today.  The banks tend to honor commitments made to American mortgage brokers because of the repeat business we give them.  American mortgage brokers deal with hundreds of lenders and can be nimble if one bank decides to break its loan commitments to Canadian investors.

 

Rate is important, no doubt.  Selecting the proper loan program is equally as important.  While Canadian mortgage money is offered at the 5-5.5% range, it typically has a five-year term attached to it.  Thirty year fixed rate options, at 7.0% (7.3% apr) are available for Canadian investors.

 

Reputation is of paramount importance.  Your American REALTOR can direct you to a knowledgeable mortgage broker.  That mortgage broker should be able to give you names and telephone numbers of happy customers, from foreign countries, whom she financed.

 

Ask me for references should you need an American mortgage.

 

Canadian investors, who need American financing, can apply online, call me at 858-777-9751, or e-mail me.  My contact information and resume is here.

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by: Brian.Brady on 2008-04-02 @ 7.47:44 pm

Mortgage rates should decline, in the near term.  I'm changing my recommendation from lock all loans to float all mortgage applications, if the loan is closing more than 14 days out.  That means that if you're scheduled to close on your mortgage, before April 15, 2008, you should lock your mortgage rate.

 

Fed Chairman Bernanke spoke to Congress this morning.  I'm one of those weird people that actually watch the Fed Chairman's testimony.  I look for a twitch, a nervous tic, or a tenuous posture, in addition to the text of his testimony.  I'm as screwed up as the bond traders on Wall Street.  That was my world; I can't change who I am now.  Well, Bernanke thinks a "contraction" is underway. In Southern California, we call that a recession but we're awfully dramatic in Southern California.  Anyway, recessions contractions lead to lower mortgage rates.

 

Want to see how effective my lock/float recommendations are?  It looks like I'm always a tad early:

 

Bondcahrt_4


















 

 

 

 

 

Let's see:

 

1- I came into the new year, floating rates. 
2-  On January 8, I advised to lock.  I was early, you could have improved your rate by an eighth.
3-  I floated on January 17- bonds improved a full point, then dropped a half a point
4-   Pulled the trigger to lock, on January 24- bonds deteriorated- rates went up.
5-  Stayed locked (but pointed out the ten-year ARM value) throughout February
6-  Went to float, on March 6- bonds improved 3 points, and mortgage rates fell .5%, during that time
7- Have had all loans locked, since March 21-

 

I'm not bragging, I'm doing my job.  The value of a mortgage planner, who watches the CORRECT influencing factors, can save you an eight to a quarter point, on the rate of  your mortgage.  This means that my advice can save you THOUSANDS of dollars, over the life of the loan.

 

If you're watching the "points", a stronger bond market can save you a lot of money, on closing costs.  Clients who made an application, on March 8, received a 2% rebate, from the lender, because of my prowess, by waiting until March 21 to lock.  Even worse, those loan applicants that didn't engage me, in February, may have paid as much as 2% MORE, in closing costs, than my clients.

 

Advice and execution is the value of a skilled mortgage planner.  Ask originators to prove the value of their fee before you hire them.  I'll gladly do just that.

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by: Brian.Brady on 2008-03-29 @ 12.19:00 pm

Canadian investors have been flocking to the California coastline and Arizona desert to buy primeflag American real estate at a bargain.  The strong Canadian dollar, while inopportune for Canadian manufacturing firms, is giving Canadian investors built in downside protection when they buy American real estate.  I explain that here:

 

In January of 2007, a Canadian investor, buying a $300,000 (US)  property in Long Beach, CA, , would have to pay $352,600 (Canadian).  That was based on an exchange rate of $1.17553 Canadian to $1.00000 (US).  Today, the exchange rate has dropped to $.98188 Canadian for one US dollar.  That means that the same property in Long Beach, would costs $294,300.

 

The vacuum, however, lies in the mortgage financing for Canadian investors.  Mortgage companies require as much as 35% down payment for Canadian citizens buying a vacation home in America.  In some areas (California, Arizona, Nevada, and Florida), that financing is about to be suspended.  The leading bank suspended its loan programs, for Canadian investors, in those four states, as of April 1, 2008.

 

Canadian investors are also learning that all American mortgage brokers are not created equal.  Rates for foreign nationals (which is what the American banks call Canadian citizens) are traditionally 1% higher than American residents receive.  That means that today, the mortgage rate for Canadians is between 7-7.5%; quotes from mortgage brokers, promising materially lower rates, generally don't pan out.  The result?  Frustrated Canadian investors are left at the altar like the husband in "The Runaway Bride".

 

The American mortgage crisis is causing banks and lenders to scrutinize every single loan application with a watchful eye; Canadian investors are losing out.    We advise foreign nationals to find an American mortgage broker, with a proven track record, rather than to jump at the "lowest" rate quote. 

 

Brian Brady finances investors from all over the globe.  References here.  Loan applications, for foreign investors, can be made online.

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by: Brian.Brady on 2008-03-29 @ 3.07:30 am

Mortgage origination is not a creative endeavor; mortgage advisory should be.

 

Creativity comes from a knowledgeable practitioner, with a disciplined understanding of how to apply financial planning techniques, to an individual's needs, wants, and goals.  Like a talented wardrobe designer, the recommendation should be a balance of propriety, "fashion" and daring; all tailored to highlight the user's strengths while downplaying their weaknesses.

 

A mortgage should be functional as well as stylish.  It's a little black dress or blue blazer, accessorized properly, to make the user comfortable and confident about their  choices. 

 

peeIt starts with the expected hold time of the mortgage, not the house.  Life events like college for the children, potential promotions, remodeling, major purchases, and anticipated appreciation, all play into the hold time for a mortgage.  While homeowners may expect to live in a home for 20 years, economic and life-style events dictate that the loans can change as often as color choices.  Just like "pink is the new black", fixed rate loans may be the new risk.  Erring towards the "staples" rather than the "latest fashions" is always preferential.  Blue blazers, however, change with the times.  While a suit always seems appropriate, it CAN signify a staid and lazy approach; much like a 30-year fixed rate mortgage.  The ramifications are similar.  Like a nebbish at a dance, the 30 year fixed rate loan can blend into the backdrop and result in missed opportunities.

 

Flair then, comes in the proper tailoring of the mortgage.  Interest-only and negative amortization loans, attractang opportunity (like investment opportunities) like a plunging neckline attracts the admiring glances at a healthy decolletage.  Employment of "exotic" loan choices must be used to accentuate those assets while minimizing unwanted attention.  Intent then, is the driving factor.  We want to attract the "proper" opportunities while avoiding those unwelcome advances.

 

Enter the professional mortgage planner.  She assesses the environment, like a wardrobe designer would ask about the event.  Environment, economic or social, will dictate what is and isn't appropriate.  She understands the user's tolerance for "risk".  While wardrobe designer would understand that a middle-aged accountant might be uncomfortable in a lemon yellow blazer, the professional mortgage planner understands that a certain loan solution, while stunning for a young bombshell, would make some matrons feel self-conscious.  The creativity lies within the ability to make the right choices for the age, personality, and comfort level of the user.

 

Mortgage borrowers should not shop on price alone.  While certain financial decisions are akin to "picking up a pair of jeans", a mortgage solution should be approached with the diligence applied to a wardrobe purchase for a gala event.  Quality, experience, and execution applies when selecting the proper mortgage planner; sometimes shopping on price alone can result in a costly mistake.

 

Creativity, in mortgage solutions, is much like a perfect outfit.  Certainly, some users can make fashionable and appropriate  wardrobe decisions, unaided- the same could be said for mortgages.  The wise individual leaves little to chance,  For a few extra bucks, a knowledgeable fashion adviser can outfit you properly...just like a professional mortgage planner.

 

The cheapest outfit can often cost you the most money- just like the cheapest mortgage.

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by: Brian.Brady on 2008-03-27 @ 9.48:45 pm

With house prices cooling, it may be time to upgrade to that dream home which suddenly appears within reach in this buyer's market. But with more property comes more mortgage - as well as more options and more pitfalls. The difference between a "conforming" and a "jumbo" loan could directly affect your monthly mortgage payment. To shed light on how loans are priced and sold, YOU Magazine turned to Barry Habib, an expert in the mortgage-backed securities market and CEO of Mortgage Market Guide.

 

Hot Potato
Mortgages, says Habib, are a lot like hot potatoes: no single lender wants to hold on to one for very long. Lenders - much like homeowners - want to make a profit on the loan as quickly as possible. The aim is to leverage that profit in order to lend out more money to borrowers and start the cycle again. Understanding this cycle is the key to understanding how mortgages are funded, valued, and priced.

 

Let's take a closer look at this cycle illustrated below.

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by: Brian.Brady on 2008-02-24 @ 12.30:35 am

Mortgage pre-approvals are hard to obtain on the weekend.  When you and your REALTOR are lookinggolfing at homes, on the weekend, banks and mortgage brokerages are closed.  Most of the lending professionals are on the golf course; I'm no different.  I work hard during the week and enjoy the rest and recuperation the weekend affords. 

 

"What the hell does that mean to me?" you think.  "I need a loan approval and I need it now!"

 

Saturday nights are a tough one.  I spend most of my Sunday morning in Church and rarely shake free until NOON.  Your problem?  You want to make an offer on that home, today.  Here are four steps to securing a loan approval by NOON tomorow:

 

1- Apply online at http://www.CaliforniaLoanConnection.com/apply  This is useful because it saves a lot of time on the telephone.

 

2- Fax your 2007 W2 forms and most recent bank statement to (858)-605-4230

 

3- Call me and leave a message at (858)-777-9751.  This phone rings in my office, my cell, and my home office.  Phone messages are forwarded to my e-mail.

 

4- Send an e-mail to:  brian (at) CaliforniaLoanConnection (dot) com.  Include your name, phone numbers, and a good time to call you on Sunday.

 

I'm pretty wired so you'll get in touch with me, most likely, on Saturday evening.  If it's midnight, I can still address it by NOON tomorrow.  Good luck with that offer!

 

 

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